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A/D Line Nearing Selling Climax Indices Test Support


Today’s late market selloff put further pressure on support
levels as 69% of stocks traded today

declined while only 26%

including all of the nearly 9000 stocks traded on NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ combined.
This is close to the Advance Decline Selling Climax levels 70% total issues declining
with no more than 15% advancing. It appears we are nearing the end of this January
selloff, which may occur as we approach the FOMC meeting next week.

The chart above shows the major market averages have caught up
with the decline in the NASDAQ and NYSE Advance/Decline Lines that has been going
on in earnest since July 2021 and more precipitously since the November highs.
NDX and NASDAQ have both hit the 10% correction level this week down -10.4% and
-11.9% respectively at today’s close. From their early January highs DJIA and
S&P 500 are down -5.7% and -6.5% respectively.

As you can see from the chart below the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) has
fallen through two support levels at 15700 and 15250 rather quickly over the
past two weeks. In the process NDX and breached it’s 50- (pink line) and
200-day (blue line) moving averages and two monthly pivot point support levels
(green dotted lines) as well as the uptrend line since the March 2021 low. NDX
currently sits just below 14900 support and right on the uptrend line from the September/October
2020 lows.

January Seasonal Pattern Update: Tech & Small-Cap Extend Declines

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